Research

Job market paper

Adaptive bias–variance trade-off: a robust Bayesian approach

Working papers

1. Existence of maximin priors and statistical minimax theorems
   $~$ March 2026, New version with new results
   $~$ Previous version: Reject and resubmit, Electronic Journal of Statistics
2. Integrated square of a density: semiparametric inference beyond the $o_p(n^{-1/4})$ rule
   $~$ May 2026, New version
3. Statistical models: phenomenological and theoretical
   $~$ June 2026, New paper

Work in progress

1. Truncated kNN estimators of integral functionals, 2024+
2. What is statistical in causal inference?, 2024+
3. A counterexample to some diffusion limit in Kuang and Wager (2024), 2024+
4. Optimal predictions, elicitability, and concentration, 2025+
5. Ensemble methods for panel-data forecasting, 2025+
6. A bootstrap pathology in a semiparametric problem, 2025+
7. Regret bounds for empirical Bayes combination estimators, 2026+